Guwahati: Multiple exit polls released after voting for the Assam Assembly elections have predicted a comfortable victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), indicating that Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma may be set to return to power for another term.
Most projections place the ruling alliance well above the majority mark in the 126-member Assembly, while the Congress is expected to remain a distant challenger.
The Axis My India exit poll has projected a strong performance for the BJP-led NDA in the Assam Assembly elections, indicating a clear advantage for the ruling coalition headed by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma.
The survey suggests the NDA may win between 88 and 100 seats in the 126-member Assembly, comfortably crossing the majority mark and setting the stage for a possible third consecutive term for the BJP in the state.
The Congress is projected to secure 24 to 36 seats, placing it well behind the ruling alliance.
In terms of vote share, the NDA is expected to secure around 48 percent, while Congress may get about 38 percent. The remaining 14 percent is likely to be distributed among other parties and independent candidates.
Meanwhile, the Matrize exit poll has also projected a lead for the BJP, estimating 85 to 95 seats for the party.
The Congress is expected to finish second with 25 to 32 seats, while other parties and independents may secure 6 to 12 seats in the 126-member Assembly.
The exit poll conducted by Peoples Pulse Research Organization also indicates a decisive mandate in favour of the BJP-led NDA in the Assam Assembly elections 2026.
As per the Peoples Pulse findings, the BJP is projected to win between 68 and 72 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, comfortably crossing the majority mark on its own.
In contrast, the Congress is expected to secure between 22 and 26 seats, indicating a limited electoral presence that falls significantly short of challenging the ruling party.
Interestingly, the vote share projections reflect a closer contest on the surface. The BJP is estimated to secure 38.6 percent of the vote, while Congress trails at 36.5 percent. However, this narrow gap in vote share does not translate into electoral parity.